NOAA/CIRES Scientists Help Prepare Virginia Beach for Tsunami, Storm-Driving Flooding
Scientists with the NOAA National Geophysical Data Center and the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, both based in Boulder, Colo., have created a high-resolution digital elevation model, or DEM, for the area around Virginia Beach, Va., designed to improve forecasting for early tsunami warning systems and to help coastal communities prepare for storm-driven flooding. The DEM is constructed from near-shore seafloor depth and land elevation data to create a detailed representation of coastal relief. It will provide the underlying framework necessary to accurately forecast the magnitude and extent of coastal flooding during a tsunami or storm surge event.
The new relief model is centered on Virginia Beach and covers approximately 10 square kilometers: from northern Currituck Sound to Mobjack Bay, southern Delmarva Peninsula and the entrance to Chesapeake Bay. The communities of Norfolk, Hampton, Newport News, Portsmouth and Chesapeake also are covered by the model.
“Development of the digital elevation models is one of a series of collaborative efforts within NOAA to achieve the best possible Tsunami Warning System for the country,” said Lisa Taylor, NOAA NGDC project manager. “The system is structured to provide the most accurate information to emergency managers in order to support informed decision making in the event of a tsunami. The new models also will be useful for predicting storm surge damage from hurricanes and other natural events.”
The digital elevation model represents the bare-earth relief of the coastal zone around Virginia Beach in fine detail, depicting topographic features as small as 100 feet across. NGDC worked with other federal and state agencies, the cities of Norfolk, Virginia Beach, and Hampton, Va.; the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Norfolk District Office and the Virginia Institute of Marine Science to acquire the best available near-shore data to create the model. The data were shifted to the vertical reference of Mean High Water for modeling “worst-case scenario” flooding events. (Click NOAA image for larger view of shaded relief map of Virginia Beach, Va., digital elevation model, or DEM. Click here for high resolution version. Please credit “NOAA.”)
“Near the shoreline, all tsunamis are sensitive to minor variations in seafloor and land topography, increasing in height as they approach the coast,” said Barry Eakins, CIRES research scientist. “Better understanding of the relief of the coastal zone is, therefore, critical to predicting how a tsunami will flood coastal communities.”
Once a digital elevation model is finished, it is delivered to the NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory in Seattle, where it is incorporated into tsunami model scenarios. These model scenarios simulate offshore earthquakes, the resulting tsunami movement across the ocean, and the magnitude and location of coastal flooding caused when the tsunami reaches the shore. Armed with these simulation results, the NOAA Tsunami Warning Centers can issue more accurate flooding forecasts in the event of an earthquake-generated tsunami.
Since the effort started early last year, the team has created digital elevation models for the coastal communities of: Myrtle Beach, S.C.; Cape Hatteras, N.C.; Port San Luis, Calif.; Dutch Harbor and Sand Point, Alaska; Savannah, Ga.; Virginia Beach, Va.; Panama city, Fla.; and San Juan and Mayaguez, Puerto Rico. They expect to complete more than 100 such models for U.S. coastal communities in the coming years. Completed digital elevation models, with accompanying graphics and documentation, are available online.
NOAA, along with its federal and state partners in the National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Program, is implementing the Tsunami Risk Reduction for the United States: A Framework for Action, a joint report of the Subcommittee on Disaster Reduction and the United States Group on Earth Observation, December 2005. This action plan addresses the tsunami improvement initiative in the near-term and develops a coordinated, sustainable, effective and efficient tsunami risk reduction effort over the long term.
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Relevant Web Sites
NOAA Tsunami Inundation Gridding Project
NOAA National Geophysical Data Center
NOAA Tsunami Portal
NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory
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